Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $8,113$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(609 \times 10^{0.017t}\) (doubling rate \(18.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10,997.7}{1 + 10^{-0.028 (t - 55.3)}}\) (asimptote \(10,997.7\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $592$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(117 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(26.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{528.1}{1 + 10^{-0.057 (t - 26.4)}}\) (asimptote \(528.1\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,095$ on 2020-05-23
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,025$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(51.2 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{46,479.4}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 120.0)}}\) (asimptote \(46,479.4\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $63$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(7.76 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(20.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{207.0}{1 + 10^{-0.018 (t - 83.0)}}\) (asimptote \(207.0\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,650$ on 2020-05-23
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,270$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(143 \times 10^{0.017t}\) (doubling rate \(17.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,887.1}{1 + 10^{-0.039 (t - 41.9)}}\) (asimptote \(1,887.1\))
Start date 2020-04-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(0.465 \times 10^{0.029t}\) (doubling rate \(10.2\) days)
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,196$ on 2020-05-23
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $332$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(151 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(46.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{333.5}{1 + 10^{-0.103 (t - 15.2)}}\) (asimptote \(333.5\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(4.98 \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(50.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9.8}{1 + 10^{-0.082 (t - 11.8)}}\) (asimptote \(9.8\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $0$ on 2020-05-23
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $960$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(15.1 \times 10^{0.027t}\) (doubling rate \(11.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,602.8}{1 + 10^{-0.033 (t - 74.1)}}\) (asimptote \(2,602.8\))
Start date 2020-04-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $11$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(0.872 \times 10^{0.035t}\) (doubling rate \(8.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{20.9}{1 + 10^{-0.048 (t - 31.8)}}\) (asimptote \(20.9\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $784$ on 2020-05-23
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $16,513$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(489 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(13.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{38,099.1}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 76.1)}}\) (asimptote \(38,099.1\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $735$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(73.4 \times 10^{0.016t}\) (doubling rate \(18.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{838.0}{1 + 10^{-0.033 (t - 42.4)}}\) (asimptote \(838.0\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $11,150$ on 2020-05-23
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $21,343$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(418 \times 10^{0.025t}\) (doubling rate \(12.2\) days)
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $407$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(19.5 \times 10^{0.026t}\) (doubling rate \(11.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{3,090.6}{1 + 10^{-0.028 (t - 80.9)}}\) (asimptote \(3,090.6\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $10,832$ on 2020-05-23
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $4,400$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(292 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(16.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10,871.6}{1 + 10^{-0.023 (t - 72.6)}}\) (asimptote \(10,871.6\))
Start date 2020-03-29 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $159$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(12.4 \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{193.6}{1 + 10^{-0.043 (t - 39.8)}}\) (asimptote \(193.6\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,419$ on 2020-05-23